Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000105 0.000116 0.000128 0.000142 0.000157 0.000174 0.000193
2025-12-07 0.000087 0.000102 0.000119 0.000139 0.000164 0.000192 0.000226
2025-12-14 0.000076 0.000094 0.000114 0.000141 0.000174 0.000215 0.000267
2025-12-21 0.000067 0.000086 0.000110 0.000141 0.000183 0.000235 0.000307
2025-12-28 0.000059 0.000079 0.000105 0.000140 0.000189 0.000253 0.000345
2026-01-04 0.000054 0.000075 0.000103 0.000142 0.000199 0.000276 0.000392
2026-01-11 0.000049 0.000070 0.000099 0.000143 0.000206 0.000296 0.000436
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000066 0.000096 0.000142 0.000212 0.000315 0.000480
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000062 0.000093 0.000141 0.000217 0.000332 0.000521
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000059 0.000091 0.000141 0.000223 0.000351 0.000568
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000056 0.000087 0.000140 0.000226 0.000365 0.000609
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000053 0.000085 0.000139 0.000231 0.000382 0.000654
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000051 0.000083 0.000139 0.000237 0.000402 0.000709
2026-03-01 0.000029 0.000048 0.000080 0.000138 0.000240 0.000418 0.000756
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000047 0.000080 0.000140 0.000250 0.000446 0.000830
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000045 0.000078 0.000141 0.000257 0.000469 0.000896
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000043 0.000076 0.000140 0.000261 0.000488 0.000955
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000042 0.000076 0.000142 0.000271 0.000517 0.001038
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000041 0.000075 0.000143 0.000277 0.000541 0.001112
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000142 0.000283 0.000562 0.001183
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000141 0.000286 0.000581 0.001250
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000036 0.000070 0.000141 0.000292 0.000604 0.001329
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000035 0.000068 0.000140 0.000293 0.000620 0.001392